Sep
By recorded goals + assists, not rate.
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FOREST · PLAYER PROFILE
Forest appearances, output and career patterns.
Premier League · since promotion in 2022/23 · 29 Aug 2026 – 31 Oct 2026
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SAME SHOTS · 20,000 REPLAYS
Replay Liam Delap’s shots using each chance’s xG. Compare the goals actually scored with what those same chances usually produce.
2026/27 · 8/8 appearances · 24 shots.
of replays produced 1 goal or fewer.Same chances, different outcomes—not a forecast of future goals.
Chance of scoring 1 goal from these shots.Each percentage below answers a different question.
The three percentages overlap; they are not meant to add to 100%. Final bar groups higher totals; the figures above use your exact selection.
A shot worth 0.20 xG scores in about 20 out of 100 replays. We repeat every recorded chance, then count the goals. Taller bars mean more common returns; red marks the actual goals, the dashed marker is the median, and shading marks the 10th–90th percentile range. Whole-goal steps can make that range cover more than 80% of outcomes. Headline percentages use the exact shot-probability calculation; bars show 20,000 reproducible replays.
All covered seasons pools the player’s eligible Forest Premier League shots across the listed seasons; it does not average season percentages or include other clubs/divisions. Penalties off removes penalty chances and penalty goals. Missing shot data is excluded, not filled with zero. Shots are treated as independent: tactics, rebounds and later chances do not change after a simulated goal. This describes these chances, not permanent finishing ability or future goals.
WHEN THE RETURNS COME
Apps = appearances with the selected stat recorded / all appearances. — = no usable sample.
Apps = appearances with the selected stat recorded / all appearances. — = no usable sample.
Totals reflect how often they played; per-90 rates account for recorded minutes. Small samples can be noisy. Goals + assists uses only appearances with both values recorded.
| Season | Apps | Starts | Mins | G | A | xG | xA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 8 | 7 | 593 | 1 | 0 | 2.64 | 0.50 |
* = recorded part of the appearance sample. xG measures shots taken; xA measures potential assists. Missing values are not zeros.
3 appearances · 254 mins
5 appearances · 339 mins
xT credits moving the ball into danger; possession value measures the change in immediate scoring/conceding danger. They are different models, not numbers to add together.
Latest first · score from Forest’s perspective · regulation minutes.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Mins | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Brentford (A) | 0–2 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Ipswich Town (A) | 1–1 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Arsenal (H) | 0–1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace (A) | 1–3 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Coventry City (H) | 0–1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (A) | 2–1 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur (H) | 0–0 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Liverpool (A) | 2–2 | 24 · sub | 0 | 0 |
Forest Premier League appearances only, from 2022/23. Updated 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UK.